The turbulence s surely to kick up now on how global warming is affecting hurricanes? With some researchers strongly believing that it is warming, which is leading storms to get stronger, and some others that the warming phenomenon is perhaps making it harder for the hurricanes to form, the debate on the issue is sure to warm up.
Can we address this as the consequence of the 2005 Hurricanes Katrina and Rita, bringing the tropical cyclones into limelight? – And hence these debates and heavily focused research on this. True, research penetrations are not to stop, but, what are the consequences to more and more of these findings? – CONFUSION and fund investments?
While on one hand, research by Gabriel A. Vecchi of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and Brian J. Soden of the University of Miami indicates that the wind shear will increase in the Atlantic and eastern Pacific, their these models did not find a similar scenario elsewhere.
According to the models, the west and central Pacific should become more favorable to storm development like typhoons in those areas.
But, has the sensitivity of storm to wind shear been overestimated? Kerry Emanuel, a hurricane expert at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology thinks that it is. He claimed to have published a study last year, which calculated the increase of a storm’s potential intensity via warming is 10 percent, increasing hurricane power by 65 percent.
On the other hand, the increase in shear by 10 percent decreases hurricane power by only 12 percent.
But, Christopher W. Landsea of NOAA’s National Hurricane Center, addressed Vecchi’s study as a very important contribution to the understanding of how global warming is affecting hurricane activity.
But, of all, what is true is the gruesome hurricane season forecast yet to be issued by the government, resulting to a very active and perhaps devastating 2007 Atlantic hurricane season.
The people living at the U.S. coast would be hit the most by the predicted nine hurricanes this year. Not knowing what is leading to it, they can never escape from its burns.